Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 1.573566e-03 0.001741 0.001910 0.002091 0.002281 0.002473 0.002682
2025-01-12 1.313364e-03 0.001560 0.001817 0.002102 0.002407 0.002722 0.003073
2025-01-19 1.060047e-03 0.001360 0.001683 0.002051 0.002454 0.002881 0.003362
2025-01-26 8.825670e-04 0.001225 0.001604 0.002048 0.002546 0.003081 0.003693
2025-02-02 7.392675e-04 0.001112 0.001540 0.002054 0.002640 0.003279 0.004019
2025-02-09 6.637948e-04 0.001071 0.001552 0.002140 0.002821 0.003571 0.004447
2025-02-16 5.955195e-04 0.001032 0.001560 0.002217 0.002989 0.003847 0.004857
2025-02-23 4.589068e-04 0.000890 0.001435 0.002130 0.002961 0.003898 0.005011
2025-03-02 3.562382e-04 0.000781 0.001340 0.002072 0.002962 0.003976 0.005192
2025-03-09 2.825346e-04 0.000702 0.001278 0.002048 0.002999 0.004092 0.005414
2025-03-16 2.273271e-04 0.000642 0.001236 0.002046 0.003058 0.004233 0.005661
2025-03-23 1.980606e-04 0.000620 0.001241 0.002102 0.003187 0.004453 0.005999
2025-03-30 1.584169e-04 0.000579 0.001225 0.002140 0.003305 0.004677 0.006359
2025-04-06 1.181275e-04 0.000528 0.001193 0.002155 0.003397 0.004870 0.006686
2025-04-13 7.212490e-05 0.000451 0.001116 0.002107 0.003407 0.004965 0.006900
2025-04-20 4.480283e-05 0.000402 0.001076 0.002106 0.003476 0.005131 0.007197
2025-04-27 2.527967e-05 0.000361 0.001043 0.002113 0.003553 0.005305 0.007503
2025-05-04 1.855439e-05 0.000355 0.001069 0.002202 0.003735 0.005606 0.007960
2025-05-11 1.241265e-05 0.000347 0.001089 0.002281 0.003905 0.005893 0.008400
2025-05-18 9.710915e-07 0.000277 0.000995 0.002193 0.003854 0.005908 0.008514
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000225 0.000924 0.002134 0.003838 0.005964 0.008676
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000190 0.000879 0.002110 0.003867 0.006073 0.008900
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000164 0.000850 0.002108 0.003923 0.006216 0.009164